While some people are still happy that the second derivative of first time jobless claims is flat or negative (for those of you who never took calculus---that means that there are fewer people filing for the first time for unemployment insurance benefits compared to the prior week)---the story of the second derivative of continuing claims isn't as chipper.
As you can see from the chart above---Continuing claims continue to set records. Almost 6.8 million Americans are collecting unemployment insurance benefits--That's more than double from last year---and significantly up from the 2000 low of ~2 million.
Based on this data, you can be sure that the unemployment rate in May 2009 will be north of 9%, and it likely won't be below 7% for years to come.
1 comment:
Economy looks terrible hopfully it will get better
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